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Ukraine War Update

Friday, 23rd December 2022, 11:15
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"Just have a thought, I guess, over this festive period about other people around the world. It doesn't have to be in Ukraine even. I mean, this is my, I suppose, moral proclamation here that, you know, when we have it easy, think about those who have it more difficult than us, no matter where they are in the world."

Hello Team!

Jonathan reminds viewers that while many are celebrating the festive season, people in Ukraine are in trenches, facing explosions and death. He encourages everyone to spare a thought for those who are less fortunate, in Ukraine and around the world.

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Russian Losses and Figures Accuracy

  • Ukraine's official figures for Russian losses are discussed, with 550 personnel liquidated, 2 tanks, 5 APCs, 6 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 5 UAVs, and 7 vehicles/fuel tanks lost in the last day
  • Jonathan sees these numbers as indicative of the situation, even if not 100% accurate
  • He focuses more on the daily figures rather than total losses to gauge if it was a good or bad day for Russia
  • Some argue the aircraft numbers are the most inaccurate, but Jonathan believes if Ukrainian sources halved the tank figures, it would align with Oryx's conservative photo-confirmed losses
  • Ultimately, even with a margin of error, these losses are still hugely damaging to Russia's military capability


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Military Aid and Sanctions

  • The first group of Ukrainian soldiers finished training in the Czech Republic, with more to be trained in the UK and other countries
  • Germany's Rheinmetall began supplying HX 8x8 trucks to Ukraine
  • Chinese banks have fully joined sanctions against Russia, complying with all US Treasury sanctions
  • Switzerland expanded its Russia sanctions list, imposing new sanctions on 141 individuals and 49 entities
  • These developments, along with plummeting gas prices, show the sanctions net is closing in on Russia


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Assassinations and Attacks in Occupied Territories

  • Collaborator Andriy Stepa was assassinated by car bomb in Lyubimivka
  • Another car bombing occurred in central Melitopol, with the victim unknown
  • Garages of a military unit in Moscow and a military commissariat in Saratov were set on fire
  • HIMARS struck a barracks in Tokmak, Zaporizhzhia overnight
  • Jonathan notes an asymmetry between Ukrainian strikes on high-value Russian targets behind the lines vs. limited Russian attacks on Ukrainian rear areas


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Bakhmut and Donetsk Front Update

  • Fighting continues around Bakhmut, Soledar and Opytne, but Ukrainian forces made gains:
    • Pushed Russians back in the southern industrial area and aggregate plant
    • Geolocated footage shows strikes on Russian positions in buildings east of the city
    • Russians expelled west of the Bakhmutka canal near Kurdyumivka
  • Defmon believes it's been a good week for Ukraine around Bakhmut, forcing Russia to regroup
  • Intense combat also reported at Marinka, Avdiivka and Vuhledar, which are heavily damaged
  • However, no major territorial changes in the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions


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Asymmetric Warfare

Jonathan emphasizes the asymmetry between Ukrainian and Russian attacks behind the lines:

  • Ukraine uses HIMARS/artillery to successfully strike high-value targets like command posts, ammo dumps and barracks far behind the front
  • Russia relies more on inaccurate artillery to hit frontline areas, causing less military damage
  • Up to 150 Russians were allegedly killed in a strike on an airfield in Kherson
  • This asymmetric attrition is steadily degrading Russian combat power and morale


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Wrap Up

Jonathan thanks viewers for their support and encourages them to like, subscribe, share, buy his books, or contribute via "Buy Me a Coffee". He appreciates the brilliant comments and contributions from his audience.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The video and transcript were clear, no major queries.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Watch the video and read through the transcript Identify the main topics covered in the video Summarize each topic, providing enough context and detail Bold or italicize key points for emphasis Include any relevant quotes, sources, or opinions from Jonathan Organize topics with headings in the order they appear Add an introduction and wrap-up section Select the most profound or poignant quote from the video Review summary to ensure all key points are covered and British English is used throughout

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Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

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