Ukraine War Update
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"The key, as I said yesterday, is this waste sorting plant that the Ukrainians took back control of."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Russia-Ukraine war for December 20, 2022. He mentions:
- Putin met with Belarus leader Lukashenko, who has been navigating a fine line between supporting Russia and not fully committing Belarus to the war effort
- Military blogger Igor Gherkin amplified a volunteer's pessimistic forecast that Russia may have to surrender more cities, including all of Luhansk, to Ukraine
- Tensions exist between some military bloggers critical of Russia's efforts and the Russian military command trying to appease them
Russian Losses and Ukrainian Intel
- Ukraine reports 430 Russian troops killed, 7 tanks, 5 APCs, 7 artillery pieces, and 23 UAVs destroyed (to be taken with a grain of salt as propaganda)
- 2 Russian helicopters were shot down, a significant blow if the crews were lost as well
- Ukrainian forces conducted precision strikes on Tokmak and Polohi in the Melitopol area
- Ukrainian intel says Russia received 250 more kamikaze drones from Iran
- Ukraine will receive about 10,000 more Starlink satellite terminals
- Izyum, now under Ukrainian control, was hit by the Russians
Northeast Frontline: Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna
- Not much change in the frontline, with positional battles and artillery duels
- Russians constantly counter-attacking in Stelmakhivka area while Ukrainians advance towards Novoselivske
- Ukrainians are under pressure from Russian shelling in the forested area around Dibrova
- Heavy fighting continues around Ploshchanka and Chervonopopivka, with Ukrainians possibly gaining some land
Bakhmut Area
- Concern that Soledar could become isolated if Russians break through from Yakovlivka and north of Pidhorodne
- Heavy fighting continues in Bakhmut, Opytne, Klishchiivka and south to Kurdyumivka and Ozaryanivka
- Ukrainians counter-attacked and pushed Russians out of eastern Bakhmut suburbs to the area around the M03-M06 crossing
- Ukrainians advanced 500m in Opytne area
- The waste sorting plant retaken by Ukrainians in Bakhmut is key
Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Frontline
- Little news from Avdiivka, Marinka and Vuhledar areas
- Some repelled Russian attacks north of Avdiivka and Pervomaiske
- Russians claim to have broken through Ukrainian defences in central Marinka, which would be worrying if true as it is a key area
- Vuhledar is not directly attacked but still under heavy Russian artillery fire
- Not much news from Velyka Novosilka and Nesteryanka in Zaporizhzhia, where there was recent activity
Potential Ukrainian Counteroffensive
Jonathan speculates that Ukraine could be preparing for a counteroffensive in the Zaporizhzhia/Melitopol area:
- Russians claim Ukraine is amassing troops while Ukraine has been softening targets around Tokmak and Melitopol
- A news blackout and reports of Russians withdrawing from villages near Melitopol are similar to the lead up to the Kherson counteroffensive
- Ukraine may attempt to cut off Melitopol and the land bridge to Crimea, isolating Russian troops
- This could create an opportunity for Ukraine to cross the Dnipro River in Kherson and squeeze Russian forces, though it would be risky
Wrap Up
Jonathan thanks viewers and shares ways to support his channel, including:
- Purchasing items through the UA Supporter website using his affiliate link
- Buying his books on Amazon, both fiction and non-fiction, including an analysis of the historicity of the Nativity
He signs off wishing everyone well.
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